Showing posts with label price hike. Show all posts
Showing posts with label price hike. Show all posts

Thursday, March 7, 2013

Air travel drops due to high fares, better road transport

KATHMANDU, MAR 06, 2013

High airfares and convenient surface transportation have caused a decline in domestic air passenger traffic in 2012. According to Tribhuvan International Airport (TIA), domestic passenger movement dropped 0.55 percent to 1.575 million in 2012. Airport authorities and airlines said that a reduction in airline seat capacity and an economic slump were other reasons why fewer travellers chose to fly in 2012.

“Nowadays, a large number of luxury buses are operating on the highways and due to less road blockades, price conscious travellers have many options to travel which has adversely effected airline occupancy,” said Purna Chudal, chief of Kathmandu’s domestic airport terminal.

Likewise, a drop in business activities following a downturn in the real estate business and development activities due to the release of a partial budget have also been cited as reasons for the reduction in air traveller movement. The Nepali skies saw 70,877 flights in the review period, a drop of 10.49 percent. According to the stats, an average 195 planes took off and landed at TIA daily.

AIRFARE HIKES

Industry watchers said that a sharp hike in airfares in the form of an increased fuel surcharge had discouraged frequent fliers.

The Airlines’ Operators Association of Nepal revised the fuel surcharge thrice in 2012. The fuel surcharge has risen by more than 25 percent during the year.

For example, flying from Kathmandu to Bhadrapur now costs Rs 6,550 (Rs 3,250 fare and Rs 3,300 fuel surcharge), compared to Rs 4,200 in 2010. Similarly, the normal airfare to Pokhara has soared to Rs 4,035 from Rs 2,500 two years ago.

“The reason airlines are only getting their frequent travellers is the airfare structure that has increased significantly,” said Ankur Rana, reservation manager at Yeti Airlines. Airlines said fuel accounts for more than 30-35 percent of their overall operating cost, and that they were compelled to hike the surcharge which has resulted in a significant rise in airfares over the last two years.

Nepal Oil Corporation (NOC) hiked prices of aviation turbine fuel (ATF) by 10.09 percent to an all-time high of Rs 120 per litre in 2012. However, due to an ongoing competition between two major aviation rivals — Buddha Air and Yeti Airlines — industry watchers said that travellers were still benefiting from the promotional fares.

Meanwhile, domestic passenger movement saw a robust growth of 12.83 percent in 2010 compared to 2009 as airlines cut fares amid stiff competition.

“As the country suffered the highest number of strikes in 2010, particularly in the Tarai region, domestic airlines saw a record high demand and also fierce price competition,” said Prajol Thapa, chief of marketing and sales of Simrik Airlines.

Sources said that it had become difficult for airlines to attract new flyers due to the price factor which has become non-affordable for many.

TWO RIVALS

According to TIA stats, Buddha Air secured 60 percent of the market share among the seven commercial domestic airlines. The carrier flew 881,611 travellers in 2012, up 27.59 percent.

Buddha’s nearest contender, Yeti Airlines took 28.74 percent. Yeti flew 452,806 travellers in 2012, a slim growth of 0.74 percent compared to 2011. Industry watchers said that the eventual collapse and irregular operation of struggling airlines like Agni Air, Guna Airlines and Sita Air had benefited Buddha and Yeti.

As usual, both airlines engage in an advertising war during the lean season even violating the basic code of conduct of promotional advertising.

“But actually, these rival airlines do not go for a price competition,” said an official at the Civil Aviation Authority of Nepal. “However, as per the market demand philosophy, they raise the airfare when traveller movement is high and announce promotional fares when travel demand is low,” the official added. Rana of Yeti admitted that fuel prices had put an extra burden on them, but the market still sees stiff cut-fare wars.

Apart from these two rivals, all five airlines saw a negative growth. Agni Air was the major loser in terms of passenger occupancy. Agni Air which has been grounded since mid-November last year due to its management problem, saw its passenger movement plunge 57.19 percent. The carrier flew 197,346 travellers in 2011. The carrier plans to resume flights in March.

Meanwhile, Yeti’s subsidiary Tara Air flew 68,758 travellers in the review period, down 12.09 percent. The state-owned national flag carrier Nepal Airlines lost 19.82 percent in 2012. The carrier flew 36,874 travellers. Among the major losers, Guna Air (now Simrik Airlines) saw the number of its passengers drop by 71.98 percent to 26,752. Simrik which has been operating flights to Pokhara and Mountain View flights, plans to operate to Simara from March 6. “We also plan to resume flight to Bhairahawa soon,” Thapa said.

Likewise, Sita Air saw its passenger movement drop by 43.36 percent to 8,803 in the review period.

Source: The Kathmandu Post

Thursday, November 17, 2011

Rising inflation to increase number of poor

KATHMANDU, NOV 17 2011

Food price hike fuelled by rising international fuel prices is going to drag down more populace below the poverty line.

According to International Monetary Fund (IMF), external spillovers from India, international oil prices — due to diversified consumption pattern alongside rising per capital income and increasing economic openness — nominal effective exchange rate, and domestic monetary factors are key to inflation in Nepal.

The government is planning to hike the fuel prices, which according to IMF’s inflation dynamics of Nepal, is the key reason for food price hike.

“Nepal’s inflation should move closely with that of India,” it said, adding that it was generally true up until 2007-08, but since then Nepal’s inflation —food and nonfood — has been consistently higher. “The cumulative difference of Nepal’s price indices from those of India, which rose dramatically from 2007-08 has more than quadrupled that of nonfood by early 2011.

The responsiveness to international oil prices and the exchange rate has increased in recent years, it said, adding that there is no evidence of monetary policy tools being actively used to manage inflation that is going to contribute in increasing poverty.

According to recent report of Asian Development Bank (ADB), a 20 per cent food price inflation would cause the poverty ratio to rise by over four percentage points, increasing the poor population by more than one million.

According to Central Statistic Bureau (CSB), a quarter of the total 26.62 million population is under the new poverty line meaning they earn less than Rs 54 per day on the basis of consumption.

The rising inflation will pull one million more population under the poverty line from the current around 6.7 million to 7.7 million, thanks to the current trend of rising food prices that is above the average of developing Asia.

Both India’s inflation and international oil prices have strong spillovers — one third of the impact — to Nepal. But imported inflation has a quick spillover effect, while the impact of international oil prices is slower but more persistent.

The inflation rate has stood at around two-digit levels for three consecutive years, averaging 10.5 per cent in the last three years and reaching about 10 per cent by mid-2011 mainly driven by food price inflation. In the past three years, Nepal’s food inflation averaged 15.5 per cent, compared to 6.5 per cent of the nonfood. Food price increases have cumulatively contributed to about 75 per cent of overall CPI inflation, while nonfood contributed the remaining 25 per cent, it added.

The food price inflation has been much higher than nonfood inflation due to the correlation between oil price and those of chemicals and fertilizers used in agricultural production, transportation cost of agricultural products and use of energy in irrigation.

The IMF also said that management of inflation in Nepal will continue to be challenging. The central bank and the market monitoring agencies need more active policy actions to manage inflation.

The report has also warned that the changing pattern of inflation may reflect structural changes in economy including rising imports as a share of GDP, and alerted policy makers to be alert to the changes as they may cause inflation to be more volatile and persistent.

Despite strong spillover from outside, domestic monetary conditions matter for inflation, but the central bank failed to use monetary policy tools effectively to curb inflationary pressures.

But the central bank has been blaming the rising informal economy — that is as big as the formal economy — in effective use of the monetary tools to crack whip on price hike.

Source: THT