KATHMANDU, JUL 13 - 2012
Rise in prices of both food and non-food items has pushed inflation
close to digits, thanks to supply constraints and appreciation of the US
dollar against the Nepali rupee.
Inflation rose to 9.9 percent in the 11th month of the fiscal year —
this year’s highest, according to a source at the Nepal Rastra Bank
(NRB).
Although the price level moderated in the middle of the year, coming
down to as low as 6.8 percent in mid-January, the figure remained static
at 7 percent in mid-February and mid-March and started to ascend in
latter months. Earlier, the figure had hit 8.9 percent in mid-October.
“The latest price rise is mainly the result of supply constraints due
to several nationwide bandas and strikes ahead of the dissolution of
the Constituent Assembly,” said the NRB official. “In the meantime, the
appreciation of dollar against rupee also contributed to the rise in
prices of third-country imports.”
According to the official, food prices rose slightly, while prices of
vegetables and fruits skyrocketed. Supply constraint is expected to
prevail for a few more months of monsoon. “Nepal’s price rise is also
correlated with inflation in India where consumer price index is at
double digits,” said the official.
Traders also say prices of essential goods such as rice, pulse and
edible oil have gone up by 10-12 percent as of July, compared to the
same period last year. “For essential commodity prices, it is a huge
increment,” said Pabitra Bajracharya, president of Nepal Retailers’
Association. “Purchasing capacity of general people hasn’t increased in
the way inflation has gone up. This is a very bad sign for the whole
sector.”
According to Bajracharya, oil price has gone up by Rs 20 per litre on
an average, while a 30-kg rice packet has become costlier by Rs 100 to
Rs 250. Pulses have also become dearer by Rs 10-25 per kg. “As most of
the edible oil comes from third countries, mainly from South American,
the strengthening of dollar is to blame for the price rise,” said Ishwor
Shrestha, one of the major importers of edible oil and sugar.
As far as vegetables are concerned, their prices rose by as high as
60 percent, compared to prices in mid-September 2011. The price of long
brinjal rose by 60 percent to Rs 33 per kg, while white potato price
reached Rs 25.5 per kg, up 42 percent.
Over the last year, there has been a significant rise in
transportation costs too, which has made goods expensive. Bajracharya
said cargo vans have doubled their charge within the Valley to Rs 800
per tip.
Inflation Figures
Mid-Aug 2011 7.7
Mid-Sept 2011 8.5
Mid-Oct 2011 8.9
Mid-Nov 2011 8.5
Mid-Dec 2011 7.5
Mid-Jan 2012 6.8
Mid-Feb 2012 7.0
Mid-March 2012 7.0
Mid-April 2012 7.5
Mid-May 2012 8.7
Mid-June 2012 9.9
Source: Nepal Rastra Bank/ The Kathmandu Post