Reserved Optimism

KATHMANDU, MAR 4, 2012

Reserved The realty is expecting some boom with significant growth in interest of the buyers and investment in the sector. With Nepal Rastra Bank easing up and some relief provided by the budget earlier this year, transactions have soared in the recent months. In addition to this, Department of Land Reform and Management is hopeful about achieving its goals regarding revenue collection in the current financial year, restoring the sector to its previous glory.

“However, it is too early to assume the realty will redeem itself from ongoing recession,” says Kamal Prasad Timalsina, undersecretary of Department of Land Reform and Management. According to him, the winter season is the peak season for the transactions related to land, raising the revenue collection.

As Nepali months of Poush and Magh are off-season for usual agricultural activity, they are most preferred time for purchasing and selling of the lands and real estate. Hence, Timalsina considers it to be too early to determine that the rises are due to the actual recovery of the realty. “Nevertheless, we not just met but exceeded our target of Rs 405.58 millions by collecting Rs 416.56 millions, making the total collection surpass the estimation by additional two per cent,” he shares.

The Department of Land Reform and Management has already achieved 73.81 per cent of its target set forward in revenue collection for this financial year. He adds, “Our target is that of Rs 4.40 billion and if the current trend continues, we are almost sure to meet the remaining 26 per cent easily by the end of this fiscal year.”

Last year’s collection on land revenues compared to the same time this year was just Rs 273.31 million, which is less by Rs 140 million. Moreover, the changes in the policies regarding disclosure of income source for transaction above Rs 10 million from previous Rs 5 million ceiling and facility for investors and Non Resident Nepalis, recovery of A-grade banks from their investments in the real estate, et cetera can be seen as the contributing factor for revival of the sector in recent months.

Dilip Neupane, vice president of the Realtors, says, “The transactions have indeed risen in last two months, but the reforms regarding house loan interest still needs to be brought forward as the investments done so far are on the small plots rather than bigger one. In addition to this, if someone had bought a piece of land at the rate of Rs 1.50 million per aana through bank loan, his cost has now been added by the bank interest and gone up to around Rs 1.80 million. Thus, this has resulted in the holding of the land by many such property owners, restricting the smooth flow of transactions.”

According to him, until the bank loan eases from its current 13 to 14 per cent and relieves such investors, the authentic appraisal of the sector is still unrealistic.

“People do not have confidence while investing in the realty as they are worried that their cash will be frozen once invested in these immobile assets. Thus, to continue this ongoing acceleration, it is very essential to revise these flaws.”

While the experts admit to the current acceleration in the realty sector, they are still sceptic about the longevity of the gained momentum. Nevertheless, if the trend continues, the realty — especially the land — could be a safe landing for the sector.

Source: THT

Around 1000 units of land, housing put up for auction

KATHMANDU, Jan 5, 2012

In a latest sign of deepening crisis in the realty market, banks and financial institutions (BFIs) have put around 1,000 land and housing for auction in the second quarter of the running fiscal in a bid to reclaim their troubled realty loans that soared to well around Rs 120 billion.

Contrary to normal circumstances, when such auctions barely used to cross over a dozen in a month, a snap survey reckons that national dailies are carrying around 10 fresh advertisements of auction notices every day.

For developers like Min Man Shrestha, general secretary of Nepal Land and Housing Developers Association, such a situation was not unexpected, as property transaction has come to a virtual standstill and they are finding it harder to recoup the money invested for developing the residential plots and housing to settle loans.

“Don´t be surprised if you find some 3,000 units of land and housing being put on auction over the next couple of months. With the central bank continuing to deny policy relaxation and bankers focusing only on recovering loans, such a scenario is obvious,” said Buddhi Narayan Shrestha, a land and housing expert. The crisis ignited by the realty sector doesn´t end here but magnifies as BFIs are finding no buyers.

“The situation is pretty alarming since around 75 percent of realty sector borrowers are not servicing even interests, and there are no buyers to bid for auction as there is no financer,” said Rajendra Man Shakya, president of Nepal Finance Companies´ Association.

Records show BFIs have so far invested around Rs 120 billion, which is well around 15 percent of their total loan portfolio, in the real estate. The Nepal Rastra Bank suspects real exposure could be much higher as it has found that even the loans issued under different headings have indirectly found their way into the sector.

However, as conflict in Tarai and hills (which spurred forced migration), easy bank financing and low interest rate buoyed the market, prices rose unnaturally. At one point in 2009, developers informed Republica property price had doubled in a span of just three months.

Such unnatural price rise, meanwhile, created concerns over ballooning asset bubble and financial health of the BFIs. As a result, NRB in Jan 2010 capped BFIs loans into the sector and sought them to gradually lower their individual exposures at 25 percent.

The intervention, however, dried fresh loans and the market took a plunge within six months. Even though the central bank made some relaxations for personal housing loans and excluded home loans up to Rs 8 million from the category of real estate, those failed to encourage the buyers.

“People now know developers are in trouble and with banks tightening the knots will force them to cut prices. They will not buy land and housing until prices crash,” said Buddhi Narayan Shrestha.

He even viewed that cutting prices by certain manageable margin will not hurt developers as well as that will at least spur demand and help them plough out the stuck money.

But developers are not ready for that. “How can we cut prices if that does not help us recover investments?” said Min Man Shrestha.

Such preference of the developers to withhold the risk, meanwhile, has turned BFIs nervous.

Although there is no official study that can ascertain the extent of shock, bankers said they estimate such rigid position of developers could turn at least 10 percent of the total assets flown in the sector as bad.

If their estimate turned true, it will instantly raise BFIs non-banking assets and shrink their profits by at least Rs 10 billion. Interestingly, profit of commercial banks in the last fiscal year had totaled just above Rs 19 billion and bankers said they simply cannot afford to lose the profit by such a huge margin.

“Such risk has compelled us to focus more on our balance sheets, instead of providing any relaxations to the real estate players,” said Ashoke Rana, president of Nepal Bankers´ Association. His statement clearly indicates that the bankers might further tighten their knots on the real estate players in the days ahead.

If that happened, prices will crash, predicted Buddhi Narayan Shrestha. But he cautioned it will also force many developers to quit their businesses, as total money that they will recoup at lower prices will still leave them short of funds to settle all the accounts with the bank.

“The crucial question facing the policy makers at this juncture, hence, is: can our economy absorb this correction without pain?” he questioned.

But bankers like Anil Gyawali, chief executive of Nabil Bank, said the sector acted imprudently by overspending its resources in one sector; readily took the risks and enjoyed good returns as well.

“Now that time has come to bear the cost, we should not try to escape by saying we cannot afford that,” he said.

Source: Republica